Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovic — US Open Qualifying Round of 128
Kalieva E.
Elvina Kalieva defeated Kristina Mladenovic in the US Open qualifying first round, advancing with a 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 victory. Kalieva hit 5 aces to Mladenovic's 1 and converted 71% of her break points, compared to Mladenovic's 43%. Kalieva won 5 service breaks to Mladenovic's 3.
Key context
- Match story: Elvina Kalieva closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Kalieva E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKalieva E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Mladenovic K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About