Paul Jubb vs Rodrigo Pacheco MendezKingston 2 Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#384ATP
1426ELO
1403Hard ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#292ATP
1527ELO
1487Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLWWL
Jubb P.
vs
Pacheco Mendez R.

Paul Jubb faces Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the Kingston 2 round of 32 on hard. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez holds the paper edge — ranked #292, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Jubb P.48%
Pacheco Mendez R.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Paul Jubb comes in with 8 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's 4 and 40.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Paul Jubb has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 37 vs 13).

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1403
Surface ELO
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1426
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jubb P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pacheco Mendez R.

Pacheco Mendez R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jubb P.

Serve advantage — Pacheco Mendez R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
37
13
Break points saved·Even
84
81
Break points won·Even
6
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
44
21
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
87

Jubb P.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pacheco Mendez R.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw