Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
CRO
Luka Mikrut
#176ATP
1597ELO
1443Hard ELO
$79kYTD
$252kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 16 · 2nd on
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ESP
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
#219ATP
1563ELO
1332Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLL
Mikrut L.
6-3 6-4
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Mikrut L.
662
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
340

Luka Mikrut defeated Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 6-3, 6-4 in the second round of US Open qualifying. Mikrut hit 6 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Sanchez Izquierdo had 3 aces and 6 double faults. Mikrut converted 22% of break points and won 83% of first-serve points en route to the win.

Around the match

  • Mikrut faces a notable fitness challenge, having not played a competitive match since Wimbledon qualifying two months ago.

    Mikrut L.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Luka Mikrut closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mikrut L.Sanchez Izquierdo N.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mikrut L.Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
19
Break points saved·Dominant
77
27
Break points won·Even
29
29
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
59
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Mikrut L.47%
Sanchez Izquierdo N.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mikrut L.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+111 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1332
5.4Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1563
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mikrut L.Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
92

Mikrut L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw