Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia RieraUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#224WTA
1518ELO
1479Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 15 · 1st on
#147WTA
1563ELO
1488Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLW
Hruncakova V.
6-3 6-4
Riera J.
Hruncakova V.
662
Riera J.
340

Viktoria Hruncakova defeated Julia Riera 6-3, 6-4 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Hruncakova hit 7 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points. The match featured two service breaks for each player.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-10BJK Cup PlayoffsRRhardViktoria Hruncakova3-6 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
16
26
Break points saved·Dominant
12
49
Break points won·Dominant
11
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
39
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
7
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Hruncakova V.45%
Riera J.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1479
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1563
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
92

Hruncakova V.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Riera J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw