Alice Tubello vs Priscilla HonUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#221WTA
1487ELO
1352Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 7 · 2nd on
#156WTA
1589ELO
1576Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWLL
Tubello A.
4-6 6-4 2-6
Hon P.
Tubello A.
4621
Hon P.
6462

Priscilla Hon defeated Alice Tubello in the US Open qualifying first round, 4-6, 6-4, 2-6. Hon served 7 aces and converted 60% of her break points, while Tubello had 4 service breaks. Hon won 72% of her first-serve points to Tubello's 62%.

Key context

  • Match story: Priscilla Hon closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
38%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Tubello A.41%
Hon P.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hon P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1352
Surface ELO
7.8+223 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1487
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1589
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
77

Tubello A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Hon P.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw