Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
Bernard Tomic
AUS
Bernard Tomic
#179ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 7 · 2nd on
Lloyd Harris
RSA
Lloyd Harris
#139ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
Tomic B.
2-6 7-5 2-6
Harris L.
Tomic B.
2721
Harris L.
6562

Lloyd Harris defeated Bernard Tomic in the US Open qualifying second round. Harris won 2-6, 7-5, 2-6. Harris served 5 aces to Tomic's 0 and converted 80 percent of his break points compared to Tomic's 40 percent.

Key context

  • Match story: Lloyd Harris closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-09-24ChengduR16hardBernard Tomic7-6 2-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
Tomic B.Harris L.
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
7.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tomic B.Harris L.
Clutch Rating·Even
51
48
Break points saved·Even
88
89
Break points won·Even
8
12
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tomic B.23%
Harris L.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tomic B.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Harris L.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
7.5+199 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1665
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tomic B.Harris L.
Freshness·Dominant
86
46

Tomic B.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Harris L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw