Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala GurriUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#118ATP
1661ELO
1629Hard ELO
$192kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 9 · 3rd on
#177ATP
1581ELO
1388Hard ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLL
Piros Z.
6-2 6-1
Alcala Gurri M.
Piros Z.
662
Alcala Gurri M.
210

Zsombor Piros defeated Max Alcala Gurri in the US Open qualifying second round. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Piros. Key stats included Piros' 83% break point conversion rate compared to Gurri's 25%, and Piros securing five service breaks to Gurri's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
0.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Piros Z.72%
Alcala Gurri M.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Piros Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
8.0+242 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1388
6.0Overall Elo 1661
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1580
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
94

Piros Z.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Alcala Gurri M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw