Roman Safiullin vs Hugo GrenierWinston-Salem Round of 64

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 64
#98ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#255ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLW
Safiullin R.
6-7 6-4 3-6
Grenier H.
Safiullin R.
66631
Grenier H.
78462

Hugo Grenier defeated Roman Safiullin in the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-4, 3-6 in favor of Grenier. Grenier served 14 aces and committed 7 double faults, while Safiullin had 5 aces and 4 double faults; both players converted 3 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Grenier closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26Tel AvivR32hardRoman Safiullin3-6 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
55%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
52%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
17
25
Break points saved·Dominant
93
62
Break points won·Clear edge
18
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
85
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
13
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Safiullin R.78%
Grenier H.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Safiullin R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+180 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1523
7.5Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1548
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
66

Safiullin R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Grenier H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw