Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna KawaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#161WTA
1478ELO
1438Hard ELO
34 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#129WTA
1664ELO
1489Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Gorgodze E.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Kawa K.
Gorgodze E.
37762
Kawa K.
66221

Ekaterine Gorgodze defeated Katarzyna Kawa in the US Open qualifying first round, 3-6, 7-6, 6-2. The match saw both players hit three aces and three double faults, and they had identical 63 percent first-serve win percentages. Gorgodze converted 67 percent of her break points, compared to 29 percent for Kawa, as she won six service breaks to Kawa's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
20
15
Break points won·Slight edge
84
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Gorgodze E.44%
Kawa K.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1438
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1478
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.21 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
86

Gorgodze E.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Kawa K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw