Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
FRA#86ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 10 · 2nd on
Gea A.6-3 7-6
Nagal S.
Gea A.
6772
Nagal S.
3640
Arthur Gea defeated Sumit Nagal 6-3, 7-6 in the second round of US Open qualifying. Gea converted all three of his break points and won 92% of his first-serve points to secure the win. Gea and Nagal were even in aces (1 each) and double faults (1-2).
Key context
- Match story: Arthur Gea closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCGea A.74%
Nagal S.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Gea A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.7+134 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.3Hard Elo 1476
5.7Overall Elo 1596
ELO gap4.3Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
9.19 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.34 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%