Harold Mayot vs Matthew Forbes — Kingston 2 Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

FRA1

Harold Mayot

#252ATP

1571ELO

1548Hard ELO

$73kYTD

$1.2MCAREER

24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWLWLLWW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 25 August 2026 · 14:00

hard

USAWC

Matthew Forbes

#781ATP

20 yrs

Last 10

LLLWWWWLWW

Mayot H.

Forbes M.

Harold Mayot faces Matthew Forbes in the Kingston 2 round of 32 on hard. Harold Mayot holds the paper edge — ranked #252.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Mayot H.74%

Forbes M.26%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mayot H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Harold Mayot 92 games in 14 days, Matthew Forbes 0.
Surface form: Harold Mayot 4 of 6, Matthew Forbes 3 of 6 on hard recently — Harold Mayot the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Mayot H.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Forbes M.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.97 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

3.84 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season

Mayot H.Forbes M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

62%

52%

1st serve points won·Even

73%

72%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

54%

48%

Service points won·Slight edge

66%

60%

Return points won·Slight edge

36%

29%

Break points saved·Clear edge

62%

83%

Aces / match·Clear edge

6.0

4.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.5

6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Mayot H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Forbes M.

Forbes M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mayot H.

Serve advantage — Mayot H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Mayot H.Forbes M.

Freshness·Dominant

100

Mayot H.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d) · Forbes M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

20°CPartly cloudy

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.