M. Arce Fernandez vs Ognjen Jagrovic — M15 Kursumlijska Banja Qualifying Round of 16
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ITF · Qualifying Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
SRBOgnjen Jagrovic
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWWW
Arce Fernandez M.6-3 6-2
Jagrovic O.
Arce Fernandez M.
662
Jagrovic O.
320
M. Arce Fernandez defeated Ognjen Jagrovic 6-3, 6-2 in the qualifying round of 16 at the M15 Kursumlijska Banja tournament on clay. Arce Fernandez hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, winning 87% of first-serve points and converting 67% of break points. He broke Jagrovic's serve 4 times, while Jagrovic did not convert any break points.
Key context
- Match story: M. Arce Fernandez dropped just 5 games past Ognjen Jagrovic.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 | Q16 | clay | M. Arce Fernandez | 6-2 1-6 10-4 |
Statistics
This seasonArce Fernandez M.Jagrovic O.
1st serve in·
70%
—
1st serve points won·
68%
—
2nd serve points won·
51%
—
Service points won·
63%
—
Return points won·
41%
—
Break points saved·
71%
—
Aces / match·
1.8
—
Double faults / match·
2.4
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCArce Fernandez M.58%
Jagrovic O.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Arce Fernandez M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchJagrovic O.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
35°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 24%