Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
USAWC
Andre Ilagan
#184ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 3rd on
Tristan Boyer
USA
Tristan Boyer
#182ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Ilagan A.
6-4 3-6 6-4
Boyer T.
Ilagan A.
6362
Boyer T.
4641

Andre Ilagan defeated Tristan Boyer in the US Open qualifying second round. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 in favor of Ilagan. Ilagan served 8 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 30% of break points and securing 3 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Andre Ilagan closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ilagan A.Boyer T.
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ilagan A.Boyer T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
37
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
83
Break points won·Even
17
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
14
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Ilagan A.36%
Boyer T.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Boyer T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ilagan A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Boyer T.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1518
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ilagan A.Boyer T.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
84

Ilagan A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Boyer T.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw