Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Blaise BicknellKingston 2 Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#354ATP
1303ELO
1237Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#379ATP
1313ELO
1290Hard ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLWL
Marrero Curbelo I.
vs
Bicknell B.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo faces Blaise Bicknell in the Kingston 2 round of 32 on hard. Ivan Marrero Curbelo holds the paper edge — ranked #354.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Marrero Curbelo I.52%
Bicknell B.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1237
Surface ELO
5.7+52 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1302
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1313
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Marrero Curbelo I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bicknell B.

Bicknell B.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Marrero Curbelo I.

Serve advantage — Marrero Curbelo I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
83

Marrero Curbelo I.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bicknell B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw