Alina Charaeva vs Susan BandecchiUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#108WTA
1694ELO
1605Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 2nd on
#152WTA
1624ELO
1549Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
Charaeva A.
4-6 4-6
Bandecchi S.
Charaeva A.
440
Bandecchi S.
662

Susan Bandecchi defeated Alina Charaeva in the qualifying round one of the US Open, 6-4, 6-4. Bandecchi served two aces to Charaeva's zero and converted 50 percent of her break points, compared to Charaeva's 22 percent. Bandecchi won four service breaks to Charaeva's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Susan Bandecchi edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-05W35 Baza 1SFhardSusan Bandecchi4-6 6-3 6-1
2023-08-16W25 OurenseR32hardAlina Charaeva3-6 6-4 6-1
2020-11-07W15 Lousada 2SFhardSusan Bandecchi6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
54
Break points won·Slight edge
85
77
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Charaeva A.43%
Bandecchi S.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1549
5.9Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1624
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
85

Charaeva A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Bandecchi S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw