Felix Balshaw vs Aleksandar KovacevicWinston-Salem Round of 64

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 64
#257ATP
1551ELO
1397Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#89ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$637kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Balshaw F.
4-6 6-7
Kovacevic A.
Balshaw F.
4640
Kovacevic A.
6772

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Felix Balshaw in the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament. Despite losing the first set and being broken only once, Kovacevic won the second set in a tiebreaker. Kovacevic hit 9 aces to Balshaw's 4 and converted all his break points to secure the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
31%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
12.3
10.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Balshaw F.38%
Kovacevic A.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kovacevic A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1397
Surface ELO
7.7+214 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1551
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.8Won 63% in Usa (30)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
54

Balshaw F.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw