Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner — M15 Cap d'Agde Round of 32

M15 Cap d'Agde · ITF · Round of 32
ITA
Daniel Bagnolini
#1428ATP
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
GER
Elias Julian Werner
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL
Bagnolini D.
6-3 6-1
Werner E.
Bagnolini D.
662
Werner E.
310

Daniel Bagnolini defeated Elias Julian Werner 6-3, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the M15 Cap d'Agde. Bagnolini converted five service breaks to Werner's one, and won 74 percent of his first serves to Werner's 62 percent. Bagnolini hit one ace and three double faults, while Werner had two aces and two double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bagnolini D.Werner E.
1st serve in·
58%
—
1st serve points won·
61%
—
2nd serve points won·
57%
—
Service points won·
59%
—
Return points won·
30%
—
Break points saved·
55%
—
Aces / match·
1.5
—
Double faults / match·
2.8
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bagnolini D.78%
Werner E.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bagnolini D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bagnolini D.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Werner E.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 9 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw