Julia Avdeeva vs Katherine SebovUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#185WTA
1515ELO
1490Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 9 · 2nd on
#213WTA
1407ELO
1401Hard ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Avdeeva J.
7-6 6-1
Sebov K.
Avdeeva J.
7762
Sebov K.
6510

Julia Avdeeva defeated Katherine Sebov in the first round of US Open qualifying, 7-6, 6-1. Avdeeva hit 7 aces to Sebov's 1 and converted 29% of her break points, while Sebov converted none. Avdeeva won 78% of her first-serve points to Sebov's 62%, and took 2 service breaks to Sebov's 0.

Key context

  • Match story: Julia Avdeeva came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
78%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
70%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Avdeeva J.45%
Sebov K.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1401
6.3Overall Elo 1514
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1407
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
91

Avdeeva J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Sebov K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw