P. Aunion vs Yaroslav DeminM25 Oviedo Round of 32

M25 Oviedo · ITF · Round of 32
#1724ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
#666ATP
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
Aunion P.
1-6 1-6
Demin Y.
Aunion P.
110
Demin Y.
662

Yaroslav Demin defeated P. Aunion 6-1, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Oviedo tournament on clay. Demin did not hit an ace but did not commit a double fault, while Aunion hit one ace and two double faults. Demin won 80 percent of his first serves and converted 56 percent of break points, compared to Aunion's 35 percent on first serves and zero break points converted.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-18M15 Villena 1R32hardYaroslav Demin6-3 7-6(9)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
9.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Aunion P.40%
Demin Y.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Demin Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
3.32 of last 8 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw