Mayuka Aikawa vs Arina Gabriela VasilescuW50 Oldenzaal Qualifying Round of 16

W50 Oldenzaal · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#548WTA
1139ELO
1152Clay ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
#862WTA
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
Aikawa M.
7-6 0-6 4-6
Gabriela Vasilescu A.
Aikawa M.
79041
Gabriela Vasilescu A.
67662

Arina Gabriela Vasilescu defeated Mayuka Aikawa 6-7, 6-0, 6-4 in the qualifying round 1 of the W50 Oldenzaal tournament. Vasilescu and Aikawa each hit one ace, with Vasilescu committing eight double faults to Aikawa's four. Vasilescu won 64 percent of her first serves and converted 50 percent of her break points, compared to Aikawa's 55 percent and 44 percent, respectively; Vasilescu had 8 service breaks to Aikawa's 4.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-22W75+H Vero Beach 1Q32clayMayuka Aikawa6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Aikawa M.60%
Gabriela Vasilescu A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Aikawa M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
69

Aikawa M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Gabriela Vasilescu A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw