Nicolas Ulrich vs L. Aerne — M25 Lausanne Round of 32
M25 Lausanne · ITF · Round of 32
SUIQNicolas Ulrich
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
SUIL. Aerne
#2255ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLW
Ulrich N.6-4 5-7 7-6
Aerne L.
Ulrich N.
65782
Aerne L.
47661
Nicolas Ulrich advanced to the next round of the M25 Lausanne tournament with a three-set win over L. Aerne in the Round of 32. Ulrich took the match 6-4, 5-7, 7-6. In the match, Ulrich hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Aerne had 1 ace and 4 double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Nicolas Ulrich edged L. Aerne in three tight sets (6–4 5–7 7–6).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonUlrich N.Aerne L.
1st serve in·
—
75%
1st serve points won·
—
63%
2nd serve points won·
—
53%
Service points won·
—
61%
Return points won·
—
36%
Break points saved·
—
45%
Aces / match·
—
1.5
Double faults / match·
—
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCUlrich N.29%
Aerne L.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Aerne L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchUlrich N.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Aerne L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 59%