Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi You — US Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
Qinwen Zheng
CHN
Qinwen Zheng
#121WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 1st on
Xiaodi You
CHN
Xiaodi You
#205WTA
1461ELO
1484Hard ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLW
Zheng Q.
6-3 6-2
You X.
Zheng Q.
662
You X.
320

Qinwen Zheng defeated Xiaodi You 6-3, 6-2 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Zheng hit 7 aces and converted 67% of her break points, while also winning 90% of her first-serve points. She won the match by taking four service breaks to You's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Zheng Q.You X.
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zheng Q.You X.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
16
Break points saved·Dominant
86
19
Break points won·Slight edge
98
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
0
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Zheng Q.88%
You X.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zheng Q. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zheng Q.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
You X.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+348 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1484
9.9Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
0.1Overall Elo 1461
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zheng Q.You X.
Freshness·Clear edge
71
94

Zheng Q.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · You X.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw