Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
SWE
Roncadelli F.
Elias Ymer defeated Franco Roncadelli in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-4, 6-3. Ymer served 7 aces and committed 3 double faults, while converting all 4 of his break points. Roncadelli converted 1 of 4 break points and won 55% of his first serves.
Key context
- Match story: Elias Ymer closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ymer E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadRoncadelli F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Ymer E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About