Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla RakhimovaMonterrey Qualifying Round of 8

Monterrey · WTA · Qualifying Round of 8
#92WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
#88WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLLWL
Timofeeva M.
3-6 6-3 7-6
Rakhimova K.
Timofeeva M.
36772
Rakhimova K.
63611

Maria Timofeeva defeated Kamilla Rakhimova in the semifinals of the Monterrey tournament, winning 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 on hard courts. Timofeeva hit 4 aces and 6 double faults, winning 69 percent of her first serves and converting 56 percent of break points. Rakhimova recorded 1 ace and 9 double faults, winning 58 percent of her first serves and also converting 56 percent of break points; both players earned 5 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-21US OpenQ64hardKamilla Rakhimova6-3 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
49%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
8
Break points saved·Dominant
76
7
Break points won·Clear edge
96
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
15
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
20
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Timofeeva M.46%
Rakhimova K.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1693
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
78

Timofeeva M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Rakhimova K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw