Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin QuevedoPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 32

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#639WTA
1306ELO
1257Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#107WTA
1757ELO
1655Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Ovcharenko E.
6-1 0-6 7-6
Quevedo K.
Ovcharenko E.
60772
Quevedo K.
16651

Ekaterina Ovcharenko defeated Kaitlin Quevedo in the Round of 32 at the Philly Open in Philadelphia. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 0-6, 7-6 in favor of Ovcharenko. Key stats included 3 aces and 8 double faults for Ovcharenko, compared to 1 ace and 7 double faults for Quevedo.

Key context

  • Match story: Ekaterina Ovcharenko came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 0–6 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-02W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas 1SFclayKaitlin Quevedo6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Ovcharenko E.16%
Quevedo K.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Quevedo K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1257
Surface ELO
10.0+398 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1306
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1757
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.22 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
89

Ovcharenko E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Quevedo K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw