Greet Minnen vs Jeline VandrommeUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#176WTA
1723ELO
1667Hard ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 1st on
#139WTA
1646ELO
1658Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
Minnen G.
1-6 3-6
Vandromme J.
Minnen G.
130
Vandromme J.
662

Jeline Vandromme defeated Greet Minnen in the US Open qualifying first round. Vandromme won 6-1, 6-3. Vandromme had 2 aces and no double faults, while Minnen had 1 ace and 1 double fault; Vandromme converted 71% of break points and Minnen converted 100%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Minnen G.51%
Vandromme J.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1658
6.0Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1646
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
85

Minnen G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Vandromme J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw