Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna ShymanovichUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#180WTA
1773ELO
1693Hard ELO
27 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 14 · 1st on
#191WTA
1542ELO
1480Hard ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Masarova R.
4-6 6-3 4-6
Shymanovich I.
Masarova R.
4641
Shymanovich I.
6362

Iryna Shymanovich defeated Rebeka Masarova in the US Open qualifying first round. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 in favor of Shymanovich. Shymanovich won despite having fewer aces (0-11), a lower first-serve win percentage (67-74), and more double faults (4-9) than Masarova; she converted 62% of break points to Masarova's 50% and secured 5 service breaks to Masarova's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
21
35
Break points saved·Slight edge
34
44
Break points won·Dominant
19
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
28
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Masarova R.58%
Shymanovich I.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Masarova R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+213 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1480
7.9Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1542
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
81

Masarova R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Shymanovich I.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw