Ella Seidel vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 32

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#124WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#105WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
Seidel E.
4-6 2-6
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
420
Bouzas Maneiro J.
662

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro defeated Ella Seidel in the Round of 32 of the Philly Open in Philadelphia, winning 6-4, 6-2 on hard courts. The match saw Maneiro commit 4 double faults and convert 33% of break points, while Seidel had 7 double faults and converted 100% of her break points. Maneiro won 6 service breaks to Seidel's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-3 3-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
50%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
18
Break points saved·Dominant
77
4
Break points won·Clear edge
70
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
40
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Seidel E.26%
Bouzas Maneiro J.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bouzas Maneiro J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1614
Surface ELO
5.6+50 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1721
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
79

Seidel E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw