Laura Mair vs Sofia ShapatavaW35 Trieste Round of 32

W35 Trieste · ITF · Round of 32
#429WTA
1351ELO
1359Clay ELO
23 yrs · 177 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
clay
#471WTA
1192ELO
1192Clay ELO
37 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
Mair L.
6-3 6-3
Shapatava S.
Mair L.
662
Shapatava S.
330

Laura Mair defeated Sofia Shapatava 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the W35 Trieste tournament on clay. Mair served 3 aces and 1 double fault, winning 77% of her first serves and converting 36% of break points. She secured 5 service breaks to Shapatava's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
48%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mair L.38%
Shapatava S.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shapatava S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1192
7.0Overall Elo 1351
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1192
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw