Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
GBR
Samuel T.
Toby Samuel defeated Francesco Maestrelli in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-7, 6-3, 6-1. Samuel hit 6 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Maestrelli had 10 aces and 5 double faults. Samuel converted 50% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Maestrelli's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Toby Samuel dropped the opening set before beating Francesco Maestrelli 6–7 6–3 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Samuel T. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSamuel T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About