Pia Lovric vs Marie VogtW35 Trieste Round of 32

W35 Trieste · ITF · Round of 32
#528WTA
1235ELO
1237Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
clay
#467WTA
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Lovric P.
7-6 6-2
Vogt M.
Lovric P.
7762
Vogt M.
6220

Pia Lovric defeated Marie Vogt 7-6, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the W35 Trieste tournament. Lovric won the match despite hitting fewer aces and more double faults than Vogt. Lovric converted 58% of her break points and won 7 service breaks to Vogt's 5.

Key context

  • Match story: Pia Lovric closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Even
49%
47%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Lovric P.39%
Vogt M.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vogt M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw