Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Francisca JorgeUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#120WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 1st on
#229WTA
1525ELO
1510Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
3-6 3-6
Jorge F.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
330
Jorge F.
662

Francisca Jorge defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-3, 6-3 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Jorge hit one ace and one double fault, while her opponent hit three aces and five double faults. Jorge converted 56 percent of her break points and won 58 percent of her first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26W75 Lisbon 1R32clayVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
50
Break points saved·Dominant
82
42
Break points won·Clear edge
88
69
Deciding sets·Dominant
26
85
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Jimenez Kasintseva V.50%
Jorge F.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+69 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1510
5.9Overall Elo 1599
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1525
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
87

Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Jorge F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw