Ella Seidel vs Capucine JauffretPhilly Open - Philadelphia Qualifying Round

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round
#124WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#847WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
Seidel E.
7-5 6-3
Jauffret C.
Seidel E.
762
Jauffret C.
530

Ella Seidel defeated Capucine Jauffret 7-5, 6-3 in the eighth qualifying match of the Philly Open in Philadelphia. Seidel served one ace and committed three double faults, while Jauffret had two aces and eight double faults. Seidel won 68 percent of her first-serve points and converted 36 percent of her break points, compared to 57 percent and 25 percent for Jauffret, as she secured four service breaks to Jauffret's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Ella Seidel closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.3
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Seidel E.84%
Jauffret C.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Seidel E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.32 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
72

Seidel E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Jauffret C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw