Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro MidonUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#107ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 2nd on
#189ATP
1526ELO
1451Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Jacquet K.
6-4 6-3
Midon L.
Jacquet K.
662
Midon L.
430

Kyrian Jacquet defeated Lautaro Midon 6-4, 6-3 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Jacquet and Midon were even in aces and double faults, but Jacquet converted three service breaks to Midon's one en route to the win. Jacquet won 77% of his first serves, while Midon converted all of his one break point opportunity.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
47
37
Break points saved·Dominant
87
28
Break points won·Dominant
27
63
Deciding sets·Clear edge
40
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Jacquet K.74%
Midon L.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jacquet K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+212 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1451
7.0Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
84

Jacquet K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Midon L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw