Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina IbragimovaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#151WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 7 · 1st on
#218WTA
1508ELO
1468Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
Sramkova R.
2-6 4-6
Ibragimova A.
Sramkova R.
240
Ibragimova A.
662

Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Rebecca Sramkova 6-2, 6-4 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Ibragimova served 2 aces and committed 5 double faults, while Sramkova had 4 aces and 2 double faults. Ibragimova won 4 service breaks to Sramkova's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sramkova R.59%
Ibragimova A.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sramkova R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+161 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1468
6.8Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1508
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
85

Sramkova R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Ibragimova A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw