Polina Iatcenko vs Julie StruplovaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#160WTA
1605ELO
1567Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 15 · 2nd on
#217WTA
1403ELO
1327Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Iatcenko P.
6-2 6-1
Struplova J.
Iatcenko P.
662
Struplova J.
210

Polina Iatcenko defeated Julie Struplova in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-2, 6-1. Iatcenko served effectively, hitting one ace and committing one double fault, and converted 50% of her break points to secure five service breaks. Struplova struggled with her serve, committing four double faults and winning only 49% of her first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
0.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Iatcenko P.51%
Struplova J.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
8.0+240 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1327
7.5Overall Elo 1605
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1403
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Iatcenko P.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Struplova J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw