Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heide — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
Schwaerzler J.
Joel Schwaerzler defeated Gustavo Heide in the first round of US Open qualifying, 2-6, 6-4, 6-4. Schwaerzler hit 7 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Heide had no aces and 8 double faults. The two players converted the same number of service breaks, 3, but Schwaerzler won a higher percentage of first-serve points, 76 to 72.
Key context
- Match story: Joel Schwaerzler dropped the opening set before beating Gustavo Heide 2–6 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Heide G. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSchwaerzler J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Heide G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About