Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
Johnson S.
Cristian Garin defeated Spencer Johnson in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-7, 6-4, 6-7. Garin hit 10 aces and committed 10 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 67% of first-serve points. Johnson had 5 service breaks and converted 56% of break points.
Key context
- Match story: Cristian Garin edged Spencer Johnson in three tight sets (7–6 4–6 7–6).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadJohnson S.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Garin C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About