Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro — US Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
CAN
Rebecca Marino
#417WTA
1626ELO
1591Hard ELO
35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 10 · 1st on
Fiona Ferro
FRA
Fiona Ferro
#141WTA
1662ELO
1624Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Marino R.
6-1 6-4
Ferro F.
Marino R.
662
Ferro F.
140

Rebecca Marino defeated Fiona Ferro in the US Open qualifying first round, 6-1, 6-4. Marino hit 8 aces to Ferro's 2 and converted 67% of her break points, compared to Ferro's 50%. Marino won 81% of her first-serve points and took 4 service breaks to Ferro's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Marino R.Ferro F.
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
75%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Marino R.Ferro F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
1
10
Break points saved·Clear edge
20
3
Break points won·Dominant
10
89
Deciding sets·Even
11
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Marino R.44%
Ferro F.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Marino R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Ferro F.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1591
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1626
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1662
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Marino R.Ferro F.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
94

Marino R.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Ferro F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw