Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#120ATP
1581ELO
1560Hard ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
SUI
Kilian Feldbausch
#231ATP
1618ELO
1402Hard ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
Gaubas V.
6-3 7-6
Feldbausch K.
Gaubas V.
6772
Feldbausch K.
3610

Vilius Gaubas defeated Kilian Feldbausch in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-3, 7-6. Gaubas and Feldbausch hit an equal number of aces, but Gaubas committed fewer double faults. Gaubas won the match despite converting 60% of his break points, compared to Feldbausch's 100%.

Key context

  • Match story: Vilius Gaubas closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Feldbausch K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaubas V.Feldbausch K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
44
Break points saved·Dominant
87
27
Break points won·Clear edge
52
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
77
Tiebreaks·
8
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Gaubas V.59%
Feldbausch K.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gaubas V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Feldbausch K.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1402
4.5Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Feldbausch K.
Freshness·Dominant
60
93

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Feldbausch K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw