Quinn Vandecasteele vs James DuckworthWinston-Salem Round of 64

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 64
#456ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 1st on
#79ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Vandecasteele Q.
2-6 1-6
Duckworth J.
Vandecasteele Q.
210
Duckworth J.
662

James Duckworth defeated Quinn Vandecasteele in the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Duckworth. Key stats included Duckworth's 84% first-serve win percentage and 5 service breaks, compared to Vandecasteele's 61% and 1, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
73%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
8.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Vandecasteele Q.31%
Duckworth J.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Duckworth J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1368
Surface ELO
7.8+224 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1383
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1628
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.6Won 59% in Usa (98)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
80
50

Vandecasteele Q.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Duckworth J.: played today · 5 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw