Titouan Droguet vs Daniel RinconUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#102ATP
1717ELO
1650Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
#208ATP
1522ELO
1514Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWW
Droguet T.
6-2 4-6 6-7
Rincon D.
Droguet T.
64611
Rincon D.
26772

Daniel Rincon defeated Titouan Droguet in the first round of US Open qualifying. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 6-7 in favor of Rincon. Rincon served 5 aces and 6 double faults, while Droguet had 4 aces and 6 double faults; Rincon won 64% of first-serve points and converted 29% of break points, compared to 61% and 40% for Droguet; Rincon secured 5 service breaks to Droguet's 6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
41
Break points saved·Dominant
88
50
Break points won·Clear edge
17
34
Deciding sets·Even
93
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Droguet T.75%
Rincon D.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Droguet T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+136 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1514
7.4Overall Elo 1717
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1522
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
66

Droguet T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Rincon D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw