Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij RodionovUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#216ATP
1544ELO
1469Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 1st on
#143ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$206kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWW
Coppejans K.
1-6 4-6
Rodionov J.
Coppejans K.
140
Rodionov J.
662

Jurij Rodionov defeated Kimmer Coppejans in the quarterfinals of the US Open. Rodionov won despite losing the first two sets 1-6, 4-6, as he converted 30% of his break points and made three service breaks compared to none for Coppejans. Rodionov hit four aces to Coppejans' one and had a higher first-serve win percentage, 76 to 63.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
10
15
Break points saved·Dominant
38
75
Break points won·Clear edge
15
2
Deciding sets·Slight edge
34
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
59
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Coppejans K.43%
Rodionov J.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1469
Surface ELO
6.4+114 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
64

Coppejans K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw