Aidan Mayo vs Keshav ChopraKingston 2 Qualifying Round of 16

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#792ATP
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWL
Mayo A.
4-6 7-5 6-3
Chopra K.
Mayo A.
4762
Chopra K.
6531

Keshav Chopra defeated Aidan Mayo 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament. Chopra hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while Mayo had 2 aces and 11 double faults. Chopra converted 45% of his break points and won 5 service breaks, compared to Mayo's 36% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Keshav Chopra closed it out in three sets, 6–4 5–7 3–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Mayo A.78%
Chopra K.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mayo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
87

Mayo A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Chopra K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 96%

Draw