Aidan Mayo vs Joao Vitor Goncalves CeolinKingston 2 Qualifying Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 4th on
#1147ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLWWL
Mayo A.
6-3 6-2
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.
Mayo A.
662
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.
320

Aidan Mayo defeated Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin 6-3, 6-2 in the qualifying second round of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament. Mayo hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 80 percent of his first serves and converting 75 percent of his break points. He won 3 service breaks to Ceolin's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Mayo A.80%
Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mayo A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
89

Mayo A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Vitor Goncalves Ceolin J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw