Talia Gibson vs Lizette CabreraPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 32

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#61WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
#294WTA
1453ELO
1418Hard ELO
28 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLW
Gibson T.
5-7 7-6 4-6
Cabrera L.
Gibson T.
57741
Cabrera L.
76562

Lizette Cabrera defeated Talia Gibson in the Round of 32 at the Philly Open in Philadelphia, winning 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 on hard courts. Cabrera served 1 ace and 6 double faults, while Gibson served 4 aces and 14 double faults. Cabrera won 71% of her first-serve points and converted 31% of her break points, compared to Gibson's 62% and 50%, respectively; Cabrera secured 8 service breaks to Gibson's 6.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-29W75 Carrara 1QFhardLizette Cabrera7-5 6-1
2024-10-06W35 Cairns 1FhardTalia Gibson6-2 7-6(2)
2024-09-14W75 Perth 1SFhardTalia Gibson6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
19
Break points saved·Dominant
83
9
Break points won·Even
70
69
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Gibson T.89%
Cabrera L.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gibson T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+347 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1418
8.6Overall Elo 1737
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1453
5.7Leads 2–1 on hard
H2H
4.3Trails 1–2 on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
3.7Won 29% in USA (21)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
77

Gibson T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Cabrera L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw