Marco Cecchinato vs Liam BroadyUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#166ATP
1576ELO
1446Hard ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
#197ATP
1590ELO
1577Hard ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Cecchinato M.
7-6 6-3
Broady L.
Cecchinato M.
7762
Broady L.
6430

Marco Cecchinato defeated Liam Broady in the US Open qualifying first round. Cecchinato won 7-6, 6-3, with a strong service game highlighted by five aces and no double faults. Cecchinato converted one of 11 break points and broke Broady once to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassLiam Broady6-3 6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
40
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
74
Break points won·Even
13
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
59
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.31%
Broady L.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1446
Surface ELO
6.6+131 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1590
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
0.61 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.33 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
93

Cecchinato M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Broady L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw