Madison Brengle vs Anastasia GasanovaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#211WTA
1575ELO
1539Hard ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
#192WTA
1491ELO
1485Hard ELO
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Brengle M.
6-4 6-1
Gasanova A.
Brengle M.
662
Gasanova A.
410

Madison Brengle defeated Anastasia Gasanova in the US Open qualifying first round, 6-4, 6-1. Brengle had a stronger service game, committing just one double fault compared to Gasanova's eight, and converted 67 percent of her break points to Gasanova's 60 percent. Brengle won six service breaks to Gasanova's three.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-08W100 Edmond 1R32hardMadison Brengle6-4 7-6(4)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
79%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Even
50%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
1
21
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
24
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Brengle M.32%
Gasanova A.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gasanova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1484
6.1Overall Elo 1575
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1491
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
94

Brengle M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Gasanova A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw