Carson Branstine vs Clervie NgounoueUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
CAN
Carson Branstine
#565WTA
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 4th on
#501WTA
1510ELO
1484Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
Branstine C.
6-2 7-6
Ngounoue C.
Branstine C.
6772
Ngounoue C.
2630

Carson Branstine defeated Clervie Ngounoue in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-2, 7-6. Branstine hit 0 aces to Ngounoue's 5, but converted 56% of her break points to Ngounoue's 43%. Branstine won 69% of her first-serve points to Ngounoue's 55%, and broke Ngounoue's serve 5 times to Ngounoue's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Carson Branstine closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Branstine C.Ngounoue C.
1st serve in·Even
67%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
40%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
33%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Branstine C.35%
Ngounoue C.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ngounoue C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Branstine C.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.41 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Branstine C.Ngounoue C.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
93

Branstine C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Ngounoue C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw