Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro CanasUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#174ATP
1579ELO
1528Hard ELO
$109kYTD
$343kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 9 · 3rd on
#235ATP
1526ELO
1519Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Bertola R.
6-3 6-4
Moro Canas A.
Bertola R.
662
Moro Canas A.
340

Remy Bertola defeated Alejandro Moro Canas in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-3, 6-4. Bertola hit 4 aces and 10 double faults, winning 85% of first-serve points and converting 40% of break points. Bertola broke Moro Canas' serve twice, while Moro Canas was unable to break Bertola's serve.

Key context

  • Match story: Remy Bertola closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
30
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
70
82
Break points won·Clear edge
12
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
37
20
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Bertola R.43%
Moro Canas A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1519
5.7Overall Elo 1579
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1526
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
86

Bertola R.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Moro Canas A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw